alexanderc
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Posted: Wed 5:57, 15 Dec 2010 Post subject: Leaderless Japan a |
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Yukio Hatoyama resigns
Yukio Hatoyama resigned
Leaderless Japan
a have got so bad that reform is finally possible
it was any cooler; and now, it can only look forward to a really bad situation to make the reform finally possible.
Jun 3rd 2010 | From The Economist print edition
SINCE 2006 Japan has had no fewer than five prime ministers. Three of them lasted just a year. The feckless Yukio Hatoyama, who stepped down on June 2nd, managed a grand total of 259 days. Particularly dispiriting about Mr Hatoyama's sudden departure is that his election last August looked as if it marked the start of something new in Japanese politics after decades of rule by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). His government has turned out to be as incompetent, aimless and tainted by scandal as its predecessors.
2006 years [link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Japan has had five prime minister, only three of them in any one year. Yukio Hatoyama nothing (original translation: more irresponsible), he announced his resignation on June 2, a total of 259 days in office. Hatoyama's resignation is particularly frustrating unexpected, because last year in August he had the victory in the election appears to herald a new starting point in Japanese politics, after all, before that, the Liberal Democratic Party stay in power for decades. Result, his government as incompetent with the previous government, as aimlessly as scandal.
Much of the responsibility for the mess belongs with Mr Hatoyama. The man known as for his Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) has slumped in opinion polls and the government relied on minor parties, the most glaring liabilities have been over Mr Hatoyama's own murky financial affairs and his dithering about where to put an American military base. The question for the next prime minister, to be picked in a DPJ vote on June 4th, is whether Mr Hatoyama's failure means that Japan's nine-month experiment with two-party democracy has been a misconceived disaster.
Hatoyama of this chaotic situation bears a large responsibility. He was known as His lack of leadership skills have been amazing accentuates. Although his Democratic Party of Japan's support in the polls declined sharply, although the government had to rely on a few of his party to gain a firm foothold, but the cause of his resignation is not the most obvious reason for this, but his own financial scandal and he moved to the U.S. military base where the indecisive on this issue. The Democratic Party will be held June 4 to elect a new prime minister, and his successor should contemplate the failure of Hatoyama mean that Japan took 9 months of bipartisan experiment in democracy is good to be true, it is defeat. (Original translation: a defeat caused by ill-considered.)
The answer is of interest not just within Japan. Such is the recent merry-go-round of prime ministers that it is easy to assume that whoever runs the show makes no difference to the performance of the world's second-largest economy. Now Japan's prominence in Asia has so clearly been eclipsed by China, its flimsy politicians are all the easier to dismiss.
answer to this question not only about Japan. 【Note 1】 camel change of Prime Minister revolving door, which makes it is easy to conclude that: no matter who dominates the show, the world's second largest economy and will not be the slightest impact on performance. Now, the important position of Japan in Asia by China has significantly weakened, which makes people dismiss the weakness of Japan's prime minister is more handy.
But that dangerously underestimates Japan's importance to the world and the troubles it faces. With the largest amount of debt relative to the size of its economy among the rich countries, and a stubborn deflation problem to boot, Japan has an economic time- bomb ticking beneath it. It may be able to service its debt comfortably for the time being, but the euro zone serves as a reminder that Japan needs strong leadership to stop the bomb from exploding.
but the assumption greatly underestimated Japan The importance of the world and the difficulties it faces. Relative to the total economy, the Japanese scale of the debt is the biggest developed countries. In addition, it faces stubborn deflation problem. This placement of the Japanese economy was a ticking time bomb. Maybe now it can easily pay the (original translation: complete afford) interest on its debt [link widoczny dla zalogowanych], but the bitter experience of the euro area it has sounded the alarm - Japan needs strong leaders to stop the bomb exploded.
What's more, stability around South and East Asia depends to a large extent on Japan's 50-year-old security alliance with America, which acts as a counterbalance against Chinese military expansion. The nine-month stand-off between Japan and America over a marine base in Okinawa, a fight which Mr Hatoyama picked himself and has now done for him, is a glaring example of how poor leadership can muddy the waters.
In addition, the East and South Asia (formerly translated: South East Asia) the stability of the depends largely on Japan and the U.S. has five-year-old security alliance. The security alliance with China's military expansion phase checks and balances. Naval bases in Okinawa, the U.S. and Japan have been deadlocked for 9 months. Hatoyama this conflict is their choice, but now he was pushed into a corner. This highlights the leadership demonstrated how weak the situation becomes more complicated.
Shogun to Japan's head
problems behind it and quickly rebuild its credibility with the electorate and Japan's friends abroad. There are two reasons for misgivings, however. The first is the role of Ichiro Ozawa, the Svengali-like figure who stood mischievously behind Mr Hatoyama. The second is the calibre of the candidates to become Japan's next prime minister.
Hatoyama has since stepped down, we can not help but hope the Democratic Party to leave behind their problems, the rapid reconstruction of the voters and international partners confidence in it. However, we have reason to be worried for two reasons. First, the role of Ichiro Ozawa upset people, he is a gentle-type person Gali 【Note 3】, eyeing the back of the Hatoyama. Second, the ability of his successor Prime Minister candidate worrying.
Mr Ozawa resigned as the DPJ's secretary-general alongside Mr Hatoyama, but he, unlike his boss, has not promised to bow out of politics. Moreover, he has such influence over the party that he could continue to pull strings from behind the scenes, especially ahead of upper-house elections this summer. That would be inexcusable. Like Mr Hatoyama, Mr Ozawa has been caught up in campaign-funding scandals that have reeked as badly as they ever did under the LDP. He has meddled with good policies and failed to stop bad ones, such as the attempt to roll back the privatisation of the postal system. The leader in the eyes of voters.
followed Hatoyama, Ichiro Ozawa of the Democratic Party have resigned from office the Director-General. But the boss and his is different is that he did not promise to withdraw from the political arena. In addition, the influence of his Democratic Party is very large, resignation, especially before the Upper House election this summer, this time, he could still continue to It would be unforgivable. As with Hatoyama, Ichiro Ozawa, has become deeply campaign finance scandal, which emit the stench of scandal with the LDP win a fight. Tamper with his hands and feet of good policy, bad policy but not abolished, for example, he had tried to stop the privatization of postal system. If Ichiro Ozawa remain a strong influence, he would make any leader since the position in the minds of voters eclipsed. 【Note 4】
Whoever that leader is will have plenty to prove as it is (see article). As The Economist went to press, the most likely replacement for Mr Hatoyama was Naoto Kan, the finance minister. He has shown more financial nous than Messrs Hatoyama and Ozawa in arguing for fiscal reform in Japan. But he has kept so quiet about the DPJ's failing leadership that it is hard to imagine him putting Mr Ozawa in his place. Other potential candidates, who have stood up more firmly to Mr Ozawa, will be opposed by many in the party who are under the man's sway. And sadly [link widoczny dla zalogowanych], none looks like he has enough of the right stuff to restore Japan's standing in the world.
seems that no matter who his successor leader, needs to show its mettle, to convincing. He was even behind the Japanese financial reform, than Hatoyama and Ozawa showed more financial mind. But Democratic Party leader's resignation he mollified, people imagine the arrogance that he can Shazhu Ozawa. Other possible candidates are more strongly against the attitude of Ozawa, who will meet with members of the party dominated by Ozawa's opposition. And, sadly, no one seems to have sufficient capacity to restore Japan's position in the world.
Look up, Japan
Wake up, Japan
For many voters, this all smacks of Japan's earlier attempt to escape the LDP's shadow, in 1993. The coalition government that replaced it-also under Mr Ozawa's spell -lasted barely 11 months. But a lot has changed since then. Today the LDP has only slightly benefited from the DPJ's woes, and is itself in danger of splintering. The legacy of two lost decades has left voters with little nostalgia for old habits. Having finally broken the mould of Japanese politics, it is almost inconceivable that they will vote the old lot back into office.
For many voters, all of which are related to the LDP in 1993 to escape the shadow of Japan's efforts somewhat similar. At the time, also in the manipulation of Ichiro Ozawa, the coalition government to replace the LDP regime, but only lasted less than 11 months. But now, things have changed. Liberal Democratic Party and not from the plight of the Democratic Party get a lot of benefits but also facing its own separatist danger. Lost for 20 years so that voters will not nostalgia. Finally broke the pattern of Japanese politics, they once again if the hands the baton back to the LDP, it is almost inconceivable.
However far-fetched it seems at this sorry juncture, Japan's leadership crisis presents a chance to progress to a new sort of politics, based more around policies than personalities. Besides its fiscal problems, Japan has an ageing population that will be a draw on the public purse. Its stock of savings is diminishing, and though it is riddled with misgivings about the presence of American troops in Japan so long after the second world war, it can hardly pay for its own defence. Factional politics has failed utterly to deal with these problems. But divisions within the political duopoly have produced splinter parties, some of which have sensible ideas for putting Japan's economy back on track. The new DPJ leadership, however badly it does in this summer's upper-house elections, should capitalise on that by forming coalitions with its ideological peers, rather than with the mavericks it has relied on so far. Getting rid of Mr Ozawa would be a sign of real change.
in this terrible moment, no matter how it sounds far-fetched Japan's leaders, the crisis did to the Japanese created a form creating a new political opportunities, this new policy-based politics should be more than political figures. In addition to financial problems, Japan also faces problem of aging population, which will also increase the financial resources of the load. Savings are dwindling; Although the public for so long because the United States since World War II remains deeply troubled by unmanning in Japan, but Japan can not afford their own defense spending almost. Political parties have been helpless to face these problems (in the handling of these issues has been completely ruined.) However, the two parties dominate the pattern, gave birth to a lot of these small differences factions, some of which faction of how to lead the Japanese economy back on track with some reasonable views. Whether the Democratic Party's upper house elections this summer how the poor performance of the new party leader should use the power of these small factions with similar political ideas with a small party alliance, which has relied on the independence away from their molecules. Ichiro Ozawa, a clean break with the only marks the arrival of real change.
There is hope therefore that things are beginning to get so bad that reform really will appear relatively soon. But the main impression at the moment is of drift. The sad fact is that the world's second biggest economy, home to companies that have changed industries around the world, is being kept out of dire trouble only by the loyalty of its own savers.
so, things have begun to get really bad, we can even learn a little glimpse of hope - perhaps slightly earlier reform come. But now things look a whole is still precarious. It is sad that, as the world's second largest economy in Japan, has a company that changed the world of Japanese industries, the reason has not been plunged into extreme difficulties, just rely on the loyalty of domestic savers. 【Note 1】
of interest dictionary defines as
【Note 2】 This is not particularly understand. But feeling a little taste of the rhetoric, is a double off it? Do not understand, is not ENGLISH, I feel that both leaders head here, but also the fingers. On the one hand, Shogun means Ozawa, head refers to the Japanese Prime Minister, but do not know exactly how to turn. On the other hand, Shogun (Shogun) the word looks are reminiscent of the gun, gun to Japan's head, and think hold a gun to one's head (that threaten a person).
【Note 3】 Svengali Sven Ghali, George? DU? Moliere novel Refers to the control of others thinking that they do something bad or immoral person.
【Note 4】 This small words like good bad most difficult to turn, and find an expert gives a better translation.
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